The David Glenn Lewis disappearance, and belated rediscovery, is one of the most perplexing cases The Intelligence Shop has ever analyzed. The analysis led to a lesser examined theory for his departure and one that might be considered in future similar cases. The David Glenn Lewis case came to a mixed conclusion in 2004 whenContinue reading “David Glenn Lewis: Criminal Case Or Private Matter?”
Category Archives: Methods
Beyond End-Based Analysis: The Asha Degree Case
End-based analysis is common, but meaningful analysis can occur at any point in case work. Asking, and answering through analysis, focused questions along the way can deepen our understanding of a matter. The case of Asha Degree, a nine-year-old from Shelby, North Carolina, who disappeared after setting out on a solo trek in the earlyContinue reading “Beyond End-Based Analysis: The Asha Degree Case”
John P. Wheeler III: Analysis When Evidence Is Limited Or Unavailable
CONTEX, as illustrated by the John P. Wheeler III case, is an analytical framework devised jointly by the analyst and AI tool Claude that is suitable when some evidence is present, but limited, or else unavailable at the time of the analysis. Methodology and Limitations Authorities have released limited information about the investigation into theContinue reading “John P. Wheeler III: Analysis When Evidence Is Limited Or Unavailable”
The TRACE Technique: A Strategy For Low Evidence Cases
This is an outline of The TRACE Technique (Threat assessment, Reconciliation with facts, Analysis of competing explanations, Conditional probability Evaluation), an analytical methodology developed collaboratively by AI and this analyst to examine the disappearance of Amy Wroe Bechtel. It is applicable to any criminal case with minimal physical evidence. TRACE shifts the focus of theContinue reading “The TRACE Technique: A Strategy For Low Evidence Cases”
Amy Wroe Bechtel: Analysis In The Absence Of Evidence
BLUF | The TRACE Technique was developed through human-AI collaboration to examine the disappearance of Amy Wroe Bechtel. It is applicable to any criminal case with minimal physical evidence. TRACE shifts the focus of the analysis away from what, why, or how something happened, to which hypothesis best reconciles with known facts or evidence patterns,Continue reading “Amy Wroe Bechtel: Analysis In The Absence Of Evidence”