End-based analysis is common, but the Asha Degree case shows that meaningful analysis can occur at any point in case work. Asking, and answering through analysis, focused questions along the way can deepen our understanding of a matter. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligence analysis using publicly availableContinue reading “Asha Degree: Beyond End-Based Analysis”
Category Archives: Methods
John P. Wheeler III: Analysis When Evidence Is Limited Or Unavailable
CONTEX, as illustrated by the John P. Wheeler III case, is an analytical framework devised jointly by the analyst and AI tool Claude that is suitable when some evidence is present, but limited, or else unavailable at the time of the analysis. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligenceContinue reading “John P. Wheeler III: Analysis When Evidence Is Limited Or Unavailable”
The TRACE Technique: A Strategy For No- To Low-Evidence Cases
Revised: 5 September 2026 This is an outline of The TRACE Technique (Threat assessment, Reconciliation with facts, Analysis of competing explanations, Conditional probability Evaluation), an analytical methodology developed collaboratively between this analyst and AI to examine the disappearance of Amy Wroe Bechtel. It is applicable to any case with no or low physical evidence. TRACEContinue reading “The TRACE Technique: A Strategy For No- To Low-Evidence Cases”
Amy Wroe Bechtel: Analysis In The Absence Of Evidence
The TRACE Technique was developed through human-AI collaboration to examine the disappearance of Amy Wroe Bechtel. This methodology is applicable to any case with low to no physical evidence. TRACE shifts the focus of the analysis away from what, why, or how something happened, to which hypothesis best reconciles with known facts or evidence patterns,Continue reading “Amy Wroe Bechtel: Analysis In The Absence Of Evidence”