The case of Hugues de la Plaza shows formal analytical techniques originally developed for use in intelligence analysis are equally effective in crime analysis. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligence analysis using publicly available information. It is not an official investigative finding and reflects the evidence available atContinue reading “Hugues De La Plaza: An Analysis Of Murder Vs. Suicide”
Category Archives: Analysis
How To Analyze A Dataset
How to analyze a dataset is a core competency of the intelligence analyst. Here is some advice on multiple ways to look at and evaluate your data, and how to proceed to ensure a strong analysis. (Analyst’s note: This post does not explain how to gather a defensible dataset. You’ll find that information here.) AContinue reading “How To Analyze A Dataset”
Strengthening Your Ability To Identify Misinformation And Disinformation
Reports recently surfaced of FBI personnel involving themselves with a prominent social media company to control the spread of “misinformation” and the squelching of “disinformation.” Catching and suppressing or eliminating speech spread on social media deemed false or inaccurate is an insurmountable goal, and one fraught with problems, for example, limited resources. But the largerContinue reading “Strengthening Your Ability To Identify Misinformation And Disinformation”
Intelligence Gaps: The Known Unknowns
Intelligence gaps are the spaces in our understanding of a matter. They represent information that is not available for one reason or another, but if it were available, we could offer decision makers a more comprehensive and accurate analysis. In some cases, gaps can be filled by tasking investigators to reach out to their sources.Continue reading “Intelligence Gaps: The Known Unknowns”
The Route 91 Harvest Shooting: An Analysis Of Motives
The following is an application of the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) to the Route 91 Harvest shooter case, the mass murder of 58 persons attending an open-air music festival in Las Vegas, Nevada, on 1 October 2017. The case came to a dissatisfying close in early 2019 with investigators announcing a motive was notContinue reading “The Route 91 Harvest Shooting: An Analysis Of Motives”