Here are some tips to help with your data analysis, a core competency of the intelligence analyst. Major intelligence failures are usually caused by failures of analysis, not failures of collection. Relevant information is discounted, misinterpreted, ignored, rejected or overlooked because it fails to fit a prevailing mental model or mind-set. Richards J. Heuer, TheContinue reading “Data Analysis: A Core Competency Of The Intelligence Analyst”
Category Archives: Analysis
Dr. Tsunao Saitoh: An Unexplored Hypothesis, A Contextual Threat
An unexplored hypothesis, steeped in the context of the time in which the crime was committed, may offer a new direction in the 1996 murder of neuroscientist Tsunao Saitoh. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligence analysis using publicly available information. It is not an official investigative finding andContinue reading “Dr. Tsunao Saitoh: An Unexplored Hypothesis, A Contextual Threat”
Team A/Team B: An Outline Of This Analytical Method
This is a framework for a Team A/Team B Analysis. It is one of several formal analytical techniques that can guide analysis, thus ensuring a robust exploration of a topic and a well-considered conclusion. Team A/Team B is effective when there are two strong, competing opinions on an analytical question. After both sides have presentedContinue reading “Team A/Team B: An Outline Of This Analytical Method”
Jamie Stickle: A Team A/Team B Analysis In Action
In cases where there is strong disagreement and the evidence appears to support divergent hypotheses, such as demonstrated here in the matter of Jamie Stickle, consider conducting a Team A/Team B analysis. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligence analysis using publicly available information. It is not an officialContinue reading “Jamie Stickle: A Team A/Team B Analysis In Action”
Diane Marie Shields: Hitting The Limit Of Available Evidence
A key roadblock analysts face in exploring historic cases, such as here in the matter of Diane Marie Shields, is hitting the limit of available evidence due to low media coverage. Barring the full release by law enforcement of case files, the analytical limits may have been reached. Methodology and Scope This case study isContinue reading “Diane Marie Shields: Hitting The Limit Of Available Evidence”