The following is an application of the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) to the Route 91 Harvest shooter case, the mass murder of 58 persons attending an open-air music festival in Las Vegas, Nevada, on 1 October 2017. The case came to a dissatisfying close in early 2019 with investigators announcing a motive was notContinue reading “The Route 91 Harvest Shooting: An Analysis Of Motives”
Tag Archives: bias
Open Source Intelligence: Good, But Use With Caution
Open source intelligence sites, such as .gov, .org, .edu, and many .com sites, used to be acceptable choices for research for both finished and raw intelligence. They might not always have been neutral, but their biases were generally discernible and could be filtered from the final product. But the trustworthiness of publicly available data isContinue reading “Open Source Intelligence: Good, But Use With Caution”
Culture And The Challenge Of Mirror Imaging
Analysts in the IC are sometimes called upon to explain the behaviors, motives, and intent of actors outside of the United States. Explaining human behavior and interpreting thought is extraordinarily difficult even within one’s own culture, but it adds a dimension of complexity when we discuss persons whose cultures we don’t share. Mirror imaging, orContinue reading “Culture And The Challenge Of Mirror Imaging”