David Glenn Lewis: Criminal Case Or Private Matter?

The David Glenn Lewis disappearance, and the decade-long delay in identifying his remains, was one of the most perplexing cases The Intelligence Shop has ever analyzed. The analysis led to a lesser examined theory for his departure and one that might be considered in future similar cases. Methodology and Scope This case study is anContinue reading “David Glenn Lewis: Criminal Case Or Private Matter?”

Asha Degree: Beyond End-Based Analysis

End-based analysis is common, but the Asha Degree case shows that meaningful analysis can occur at any point in case work. Asking, and answering through analysis, focused questions along the way can deepen our understanding of a matter. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligence analysis using publicly availableContinue reading “Asha Degree: Beyond End-Based Analysis”

John P. Wheeler III: Analysis When Evidence Is Limited Or Unavailable

CONTEX, as illustrated by the John P. Wheeler III case, is an analytical framework devised jointly by the analyst and AI tool Claude that is suitable when some evidence is present, but limited, or else unavailable at the time of the analysis. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligenceContinue reading “John P. Wheeler III: Analysis When Evidence Is Limited Or Unavailable”

Psychological Cascades And Unintended Consequences: The Death Of Col. Philip M. Shue

Col. Philip M. Shue’s passing appears to be another example of a psychological cascade that led to unintended consequences. The case mirrors AUSA Jonathan P. Luna‘s complex death. Psychological cascades are hypotheses that should be considered in difficult to explain cases. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligence analysisContinue reading “Psychological Cascades And Unintended Consequences: The Death Of Col. Philip M. Shue”

The TRACE Technique: A Strategy For Low Evidence Cases

This is an outline of The TRACE Technique (Threat assessment, Reconciliation with facts, Analysis of competing explanations, Conditional probability Evaluation), an analytical methodology developed collaboratively by AI and this analyst to examine the disappearance of Amy Wroe Bechtel. It is applicable to any criminal case with minimal physical evidence. TRACE shifts the focus of theContinue reading “The TRACE Technique: A Strategy For Low Evidence Cases”