Category Archives: Base Knowledge

The TRACE Technique: A Strategy For Low Evidence Cases

This is an outline of The TRACE Technique (Threat assessment, Reconciliation with facts, Analysis of competing explanations, Conditional probability Evaluation), an analytical methodology developed collaboratively by AI and this analyst to examine the disappearance of Amy Wroe Bechtel. It is applicable to any criminal case with minimal physical evidence. TRACE shifts the focus of theContinue reading “The TRACE Technique: A Strategy For Low Evidence Cases”

Writing: A Core Competency Of The Intelligence Analyst

Here are some tips to help convey a clear and concise written message to consumers of intelligence analysis. Writing is a core competency of the intelligence analyst. If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough. Albert Einstein

Data Analysis: A Core Competency Of The Intelligence Analyst

Here are some tips to help with your data analysis, a core competency of the intelligence analyst. Major intelligence failures are usually caused by failures of analysis, not failures of collection. Relevant information is discounted, misinterpreted, ignored, rejected or overlooked because it fails to fit a prevailing mental model or mind-set. Richards J. Heuer, TheContinue reading “Data Analysis: A Core Competency Of The Intelligence Analyst”

Research: A Core Competency Of The Intelligence Analyst

Here are some tips to help master research, a core competency of the intelligence analyst. Research is formalized curiosity… Zora Neale Hurston

How To Analyze A Data Set

How to analyze a data set is a core competency of the intelligence analyst. Here is some advice on multiple ways to look at and evaluate your data, and how to proceed to ensure a strong analysis. (Analyst’s note: This post does not explain how to gather a defensible data set. You’ll find that informationContinue reading “How To Analyze A Data Set”