Col. Philip M. Shue’s passing appears to be another example of a psychological cascade that led to unintended consequences. The case mirrors AUSA Jonathan P. Luna‘s complex death. Psychological cascades are hypotheses that should be considered in difficult to explain cases. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligence analysisContinue reading “Psychological Cascades And Unintended Consequences: The Death Of Col. Philip M. Shue”
Tag Archives: Structured Analysis
AUSA Jonathan Paul Luna: The Limits Of Binary Thinking
An analysis of the Jonathan Luna case found the complex explanation for his death may have contributed to case laying unresolved since 2003.
Team A/Team B: An Outline Of This Analytical Method
This is a framework for a Team A/Team B Analysis. It is one of several formal analytical techniques that can guide analysis, thus ensuring a robust exploration of a topic and a well-considered conclusion. Team A/Team B is effective when there are two strong, competing opinions on an analytical question. After both sides have presentedContinue reading “Team A/Team B: An Outline Of This Analytical Method”
Jamie Stickle: A Team A/Team B Analysis In Action
In cases where there is strong disagreement and the evidence appears to support divergent hypotheses, such as demonstrated here in the matter of Jamie Stickle, consider conducting a Team A/Team B analysis. Methodology and Scope This case study is an educational demonstration of structured intelligence analysis using publicly available information. It is not an officialContinue reading “Jamie Stickle: A Team A/Team B Analysis In Action”
Diane Marie Shields: Hitting The Limit Of Available Evidence
A key roadblock analysts face in exploring historic cases, such as here in the matter of Diane Marie Shields, is hitting the limit of available evidence due to low media coverage. Barring the full release by law enforcement of case files, the analytical limits may have been reached. Methodology and Scope This case study isContinue reading “Diane Marie Shields: Hitting The Limit Of Available Evidence”